Dette er en relatert diskusjon ved siden av det originale innlegget ved https://steigan.no/2021/04/sor-dakota-den-minst-restiktive-staten-i-den-vestlige-verden/
Modellene til Neil Ferguson burde da jaggu få håret til å reise seg på de fleste. Han har vel bomma på 100% av de “modellene” han har mekka gjennom åra. Da snakker jeg ikke om noen få prosents slingringsmonn. Jeg fatter ikke at det ikke snart går opp et lys her og der. Ugh.
Ferguson was behind the disputed research that sparked the mass culling of eleven million sheep and cattle during the 2001 outbreak of foot-and-mouth disease. He also predicted that up to 150,000 people could die. There were fewer than 200 deaths. . . .
In 2002, Ferguson predicted that up to 50,000 people would likely die from exposure to BSE (mad cow disease) in beef. In the U.K., there were only 177 deaths from BSE.
In 2005, Ferguson predicted that up to 150 million people could be killed from bird flu. In the end, only 282 people died worldwide from the disease between 2003 and 2009.
In 2009, a government estimate, based on Ferguson’s advice, said a “reasonable worst-case scenario” was that the swine flu would lead to 65,000 British deaths. In the end, swine flu killed 457 people in the U.K.
Last March, Ferguson admitted that his Imperial College model of the COVID-19 disease was based on undocumented, 13-year-old computer code that was intended to be used for a feared influenza pandemic, rather than a coronavirus. Ferguson declined to release his original code so other scientists could check his results. He only released a heavily revised set of code last week, after a six-week delay.